Analyzing Development Approaches under Nehru Regime (1947- 1964)

Introduction 

 

India's Economy, like any other in the world, has experienced its ups and downs since its inception. For nearly 200 years, colonial powers exploited India. Environmental damage, ethnic rivalries, human rights violations, and massive economic instability and inequality were all consequences of European colonialism. When India was on the cusp of independence from the British in the mid-twentieth century, its situation was dire in every way. The worldwide proportion of GDP had decreased from 25% during its golden period to only 3% at the time of independence, and the Indian markets have been saturated with low-cost machine-made goods.




 The Indian handicraft and textile industries, which once dominated, have declined. About 70% of the national income came from agricultural activities, besides the productivity and output per hectare were very low. This lead to a meagre yield of output irrespective of the large cultivation area. Further, the manufacturing and service sectors had a very low contribution to the GDP. 

India today is the 6th largest economy in terms of nominal GDP. Since independence, it has undergone several significant changes that have made India one of the largest economies. As a result, it is vital to comprehend India's post-independence economic policies, which created the groundwork for its economic progress.


Policies Under Nehru Regime



Pandit Jawaharlal Nehru became the first Prime Minister of India. He was a proponent of economic modernization and had a significant influence on the idea of development and policies for India in its early phases. He believed that the most effective approach to fight mass poverty was through rapid industrialization. (Rajadhyaksha, 2014).

However, he soon realized that due to immense diversity in people's language, ethics and culture, the people lacked unity. Thus, India needed something that could unite the ideas and ambitions of these different people. One of the first steps taken by Nehru after coming into power was to establish a National Philosophy which provides the citizens with clearly defined goals and objectives. Nehru considered the establishment of National Policy as the initial step in restructuring the Indian Economy. Finally, India's economic progress began in the 1950s when Jawaharlal Nehru adopted the five-year plan system borrowed from the Soviet Union. One of the government's primary goals was to accelerate industrialization by generating funds and investing them in giant industrial state-owned firms. Power, steel, heavy electrical, locomotives, and the chemical industries received special attention.

 

First Five-Year Plan (1951-1956)

 

The first five-year plan launched in 1951 was aimed primarily at improving the agriculture sector since Nehru knew that an immediate shift from agriculture to other sectors would not be perceived well by the citizens, so this process needed to be gradual and not instant. For this, he formed his basis from the Harrod-Domar model of economic development, which categorized two aspects crucial for development; low capital-output ratio and high levels of savings. The plan aimed at reaching a target of 2.9% GDP growth by the end of its tenure but to everyone's surprise, the policies outperformed even the plans estimates by ensuring a GDP growth of 3.6%. Thus, the first five-year plan came to be known as a major accolade of Nehru's political career.

  



Second Five-Year Plan (1956-1961)

 

Following the success of the first plan, the second five-year plan implemented by Nehru aimed at the development of the public sector and mass industrialization. Nehru was a keen believer of the fact that for achieving actual development, Indian industrialization should be on par with those of the developed European countries. Following Nehru's protectionist policy of not opening up borders for international trade, this plan assumed trading to be considered as importing of capital goods (closed economy model). A proper economic model with consideration from ISI (Indian Statistical Institute) was introduced and implemented. With an allocated budget of 48 billion Rupees, various power, irrigation, transportation and service institutions were set up, including the Atomic Energy Commission of India and Tata institute of fundamental research.

 

The First Five years maintained the planners' optimism by making more incredible progress toward achieving its targets and ambitious goals. The Indian economy grew at a rate of 3.5 to 4% per year during Nehru's first decade in power. From 1950-51 to 1956-57, the national income increased from Rs. 9110 crores to Rs. 10800 crores. The index of industrial production grew at a compound annual growth rate of 5.7 per cent in the first five-year plan and around 7.5 per cent in the second five-year plan, which is noteworthy. In agriculture, total food grain production was 69.3 million tons, compared to the target of 62.6 million tons. During 1950-51 to 1955-56, the index number of agricultural production for all crops increased from 26 to 117 (FIVE YEAR PLANS).

In the second five-year plan, the agricultural index increased from 116.8 in 1955-56 to 135 in 1960-61. In 1960-61, production was 76 million tons, compared to 69.3 million tons in 1955-56.

 

Criticisms 


Despite India's progress in various areas, international commerce and exports received little attention. The composition of Indian exports remained heavily skewed toward traditional items such as tea, jute manufacturing, and cotton fabrics, accounting for nearly 25% of total exports. Manmohan Singh in 1963 pointed out that the main focus of these Economic policies was on import substitution. This meant that India not only missed out on the benefits of a growing global economy, but it also meant that it remained reliant on foreign aid to meet its basic needs (Rajadhyaksha, 2014).

                        

Another critical aspect of the Nehru rule that was overlooked was the lack of focus on the private sector. The public sector's share of total Indian investment was predicted to be over 46 per cent in the First Plan, over 61 per cent in the Second Plan, and over 58 per cent in the Third Plan. The public sector was tasked with developing and managing heavy and primary industries and economic and social-economic infrastructure, while the private sector was tasked with developing consumer goods industries. 

The public sector was responsible for railways, civil aviation, power generation and distribution, banks, insurance, and other financial institutions, the private sector was held responsible for agriculture and related activities, plantation, mining, wholesale and retail internal trade, foreign trade, and road freight traffic, among other things.

 

The industrial licensing system, which was supposed to ensure that the private sector followed the five-year plans became a source of inefficiency and corruption. Despite the fact that the institution of a planning commission and the period of planning that it ushered in allowed Nehru to concentrate on both economic development and social justice at the same time.

 

Recommendations 


The situation would have been even better if strategies had been implemented to prioritize public investments in agriculture rather than industry, which provided a living for more than three-fourths of the country's population. Investments in the agricultural sector, including irrigation projects, farmer education in scientific farming methods, the construction of rural roads and storage facilities and agricultural research and development could have been done while rising incomes could have been used to finance industrial development once the agricultural sector was relatively healthy and the poverty of its participants were somewhat reduced (Adhia, 2015).

 

Another alternative strategy could have been to rely on private enterprise for industrial development while the government focused its resources on infrastructure, public health, and education—sectoral investments that the private sector does not adequately serve. Considering the significance of the private sector and the existence of India's robust entrepreneurial class, leaders rejected a strategy that included a prominent role for the private sector because they were committed to constructing the morally superior socialistic pattern of society (Adhia, 2015). As it turned out, the country eventually came around to embracing this previously rejected plan in the 1990s.

 

Conclusion

 

Despite a promising start, Nehru's economic policies were widely criticized in the long term. Nehru was the first person to break India's five-decade stagnation impasse, but due to his defective worldview, he was unable to maintain these levels of progress. While many economies changed their growth strategy, India remained resistant to change, resulting in a slowdown in its development. His unwillingness to reduce government control in every economic activity, as well as his opposition to opening up trade borders (protectionism), served as the final nail in India's coffin.

Comments

  1. Group 5 (S Dhanush & Pooja Srihari)
    The introduction provides a clear understanding of the topic. The Nehrurian policy period was the building block of the future policies of India will later implement from the shortfalls and plus points of the policy era of Nehru.

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  2. Group 5 (S Dhanush & Pooja Srihari)
    The graphs presented of the first five year plan shows the GDP of 1961 to 1965, it this because of lack of data availability of 1951 period?
    Explanation of the graph trend on why in 1962 it dropped down and why in 1965 GDP turned negative-is it because of the Indo-China war?

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    1. Thank you for bringing it to our notice. It seems while posting the data on this blog, the graph got misplaced. The graph was supposed to come under the 'Criticisms' section of our blog, showcasing how the Nehruvian regime couldn't live up to its promises.

      Answering your second question, the two dips were prominently due to 'two' pivotal factors. As you correctly pointed out, the Indo-China war was one of the primary reasons for the fall you see in 1962. Coming to the next period, death of the then Prime Minister Jawahar Lal Nehru in 1964 had a significant impact on India. Having lost its current leader, the country's economy regressed as shown in the graph.

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    2. Group 5 (S Dhanush & Pooja Srihari)
      If you could mention the two dips in the blog content- it would be really useful, just a suggestion.
      We weren't aware that Prime Minister Jawahar Lal Nehru passing away would have an impact on the GDP of India, this was insightful to know.

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  3. Group 5 (S Dhanush & Pooja Srihari)
    ''With an allocated budget of 48 billion''- what is the currency?
    Second paragraph of the second five year plan deals with a lot of data can they be presented in graphs to get a better idea?

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    1. The budget allocated is in Indian currency so Rs 48 billion.

      Another valid point raised by you and I completely agree with the fact that too much data sometimes distorts the essence of the message the paragraphs wishes to convey however, as you can see the data provided is not for a single variable but includes a number of variables. So graphical presentation or for that matter even tabular presentation would require us to make at least 4-5 graphs/tables which would have made the blog look a bit congested.

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    2. Agreed. Yes, you make a point that it deals with various variables.
      Could please put it as "Rs. 48 billion" to it gives a concrete idea.

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  4. Group 5 (S Dhanush & Pooja Srihari)
    Wouldn't you consider the Indo-China war as failure of Nehru- on not anticipating it and not spending enough on the security and military requirement of India?

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    1. The Indo-China war of 1962 was an indeed incident that the Indian government was unable to foresee, and Nehru's China policy is regarded as a monumental failure, as large swaths of Indian land were lost to China, with significant economic ramifications. But Nehru is not entirely to blame, because India had not yet recovered fully from the shock of partition, and there was much internal turmoil that could not have been solved by the government.
      Famines and droughts were common, poverty was at an all-time high, and migrants had not yet been settled, so much of the government's money was spent on developmental activities; at the time, investing a large chunk of money in defense would not have been appropriate for the country. This is a complex and contentious topic that necessitates a thorough review of the literature and an examination of the facts in order to reach a conclusion.

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  5. Group 5 (S Dhanush & Pooja Srihari)
    Don't you think policies of better transition from agriculture to industrial sector could have been smoother and better implemented?

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    1. Some of the major disadvantages that India faced during its transition from agriculture to the industrial sector were the government's protectionist approaches, which lasted so long that 75 years after independence, we can realize the downside of these approaches when comparing India and China.
      Despite the fact that the development of the manufacturing sector was prioritized and industrialization was deemed necessary for modernization. Governments regulated heavy industries such as railways, civil aviation, power generation and distribution, banks, insurance, and other financial institutions, while the private sector was in charge of agriculture, plantation, mining, wholesale and retail internal trade.
      Policies such as the License Raj hampered the development of industries and encouraged red tapism. Only a few well-known businessmen were granted licenses to operate industries. India could have performed better if the private sector had been given more opportunities and the economy had been opened up to global trade at an earlier stage.

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    2. Group 5 (S Dhanush & Pooja Srihari)
      We completely agree with your point that private sector should have certainly been given more flexibility, if they had been given more freedom during then itself- do you think that India's current manufacturing sector that is performing below its potential would be booming and doing better now? Would private sector have such a huge impact on the economy if it were provided with more freedom during the Nehruian era?

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    3. Yes, because India did not lack resources, Human Capital, or Talent at that point of time, what it lacked was an opportunity; India would undoubtedly be performing better now if the government had concentrated on the private sector and removed hurdles.

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  6. Group 5 (S Dhanush & Pooja Srihari)
    The portrayal of robust entrepreneurial class to improve industrial production in the recommendation section is very interesting and brings to light on how entrepreneurs can have a huge impact on the economic welfare of the nation. Kudos on that!

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  7. Group 4 (Jahnavi Zharotia and Anubhuti Singh)
    The introduction provides insight into how important it is to study the post independence era policies and is captivating in nature!

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  8. Group 4 (Jahnavi Zharotia and Anubhuti Singh)
    As an economy rising from the ashes and on its way to development, dont you think that opening up an economy globally could pose many challenges for growth?
    I ask this with reference to the fact that you have criticised Nehru’s averse behaviour towards globalisation.

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    1. This is indeed a very valid point in fact, India at that point had just gained independence and lacked institutional development. However, the latter was achieved through the first and the second five year plans but then instead of opening up the borders, Nehru chose to remain a protectionist. It is a quite common misconception that if an economy is not strong enough, foreign trade tends to harm rather than benefit. But history is an evidence that various economies like Japan who opened up their borders at a similar time prospered significantly not to mention the LPG policy of 1991 has been critical in the development of Indian traders as they were forced to improve their services in an attempt to compete against their foreign counterparts. Had Nehru focused on the wider picture, the economy would have been in a far better shape under his reign.

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  9. Group 4 (Jahnavi Zharotia and Anubhuti Singh)
    You bring such insightful information to light throughout the blog. May we ask why the early growth witnessed during Nehru’s regime didn’t sustain over a period of time? The immense success slowed down. Why?

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    1. Following the Independence, the Indian Economy witnessed major growth in almost every sector. Growth continued, but at a slower pace, until the beginning of the twenty-first century. This slowdown in growth was caused by a number of factors, the first of which was the country's political instability following the death of Jawaharlal Nehru. Second, in the latter half of the twentieth century, India witnessed numerous wars, primarily with Pakistan and China, and as we all know, war comes at a high cost.
      Despite these wars there were problems created by the insurgents in Kashmir, the north-eastern region, Naxalites and Maoists.
      Third, until the Green Revolution, India's agriculture was based on conventional methods, which employed about 70% of the country's people. Indian farmers were reliant on rain for irrigation, and yields were low.
      Besides that, the years following independence witnessed many droughts and crop failures, forcing India to import food grains from abroad, further depleting the country's forex reserves.
      Other factors include ineffective policies such as the License Raj, which have impeded the development of the private sector. Corruption and red tape were pervasive, slowing the speed of development initiatives.
      As a result of all of these events and conditions within the country, government funds were diverted away from growth and development halted.

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